LAS VEGAS - History suggests that Nevada's public schools may never recover from the budget cuts being required of them by legislators after last weekend.
Consider what has happened since 2001, when the Clark County School District increased class sizes in grades 4 through 12 in order to save tens of millions of dollars. Larger classes meant fewer teachers to pay.
"I thought we would work our way back out of that in a year or two," said Superintendent Walt Rulffes, who as the chief financial officer at the time was responsible for signing off on the operating budget. "But it never happened. It just got worse."
Now, with the Legislature's special-session mandate that the district trim 6.9 percent from its operating budget, Rulffes wonders whether the district will ever be able to restore what is being lost this time.
State Sen. Joyce Woodhouse, D-Henderson, chairwoman of the Legislative Committee on Education, said she and other lawmakers share Rulffes' fears.
"One could argue you never really do catch back up," said Woodhouse, a retired educator who ran the School District's community partnership program. "You've lost the momentum you would have had if you had kept on going, even if it was small steps."
And for much of the past decade, "small steps" are exactly what Nevada had been clinging to as evidence of progress in academic achievement: slow and steady improvement in graduation and dropout rates, tiny gains in average student test scores on national exams, more opportunities for career and technical education, increased funding for full-day kindergarten.
When the budget crisis began more than two years ago, one of the first items on the state's chopping block were tens of millions of dollars in grants for innovation and remediation in the state's K-12 schools. Also lost was funding for "empowerment," a pilot program that provided extra per-pupil dollars to schools and more control over daily operations in exchange for stricter accountability. A statewide "pay for performance" model for teachers also has been abandoned.
The new fear is that changes required by the latest cuts - with more budget shortfalls expected when the 2011 Legislature convenes - will become part of Nevada's public education DNA.
"As much as possible, we need sunset provisions, so we don't get stuck with them in perpetuity," said Alison Turner, president of the Nevada PTA. "But the reality is, some of these things are never coming back."
If there's a silver lining to the special session, Turner said, it's that lawmakers hammered out an agreement to change state statute so that Nevada can qualify for the federal "Race to the Top" grant program. The Silver State had been excluded because of a law that prohibited using student test data in teacher evaluations. Nevada could be eligible for up to $167 million in grants for public school reform.
"We consider that a significant victory," Turner said. "We have some proven, research-based programs that were in place already in Nevada and lost their funding. And we have some school reforms that are just waiting for the federal money."
Nevada's public colleges and universities are also facing 6.9 percent reductions in state funding, and there are similar fears that what's cut won't be restored. That could mean eliminated degree and research programs, larger class sizes and higher costs for students.
"Things that go away tend not to come back," university system Chancellor Dan Klaich said. "The outlook for the revenue in this state, based on what our tax structure is right now, isn't good. I don't think any of us can look forward to a speedy or robust recovery that would support bringing things back quickly."
College and university presidents are meeting with faculty and staff on proposals for meeting the mandated budget cuts, and tentative plans are expected in the coming weeks.
Senate Minority Leader Bill Raggio, R-Reno, said the budget crisis is forcing education leaders to scrutinize their spending and make appropriate changes, and "that probably can be therapeutic in the long run I expect some funding restoration as our economy improves. These are austere measures taken in tough times."
And certainly, time will tell.